Yearfold journal
Field notes on planning a real retirement
The Yearfold journal is honest, sourced writing about retirement planning under 2026 federal rules — the post-OBBBA tax brackets, the post-SECURE 2.0 RMD ages, the Social Security taxability thresholds that haven’t moved since 1993, and the Medicare IRMAA tiers that move every year. Every post is written by Yearfold’s founder, every load-bearing number traces to a primary source (IRS, SSA, CMS, Congressional Research Service, FRED), and every page carries the date it was last reviewed against those primary sources.
What you won’t find here: pump-and-dump stock picks, advisor-affiliate funnels, or generic “invest in low-cost index funds” restated for the thousandth time. What you will find: the math behind the 4% rule’s actual claim and its limits, when a Roth conversion ladder pays and when it costs more than it saves, what 2026 brackets really look like after the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, how the Social Security “tax torpedo” reshapes a middle-income retiree’s real marginal rate, and what Monte Carlo simulation actually means when a calculator claims to use it.
July 15, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
The 2027 Social Security COLA Forecast Just Fell a Full Point. This Is Why You Plan for a Range.
June CPI cut the leading 2027 Social Security COLA forecasts a full point to about 3.6–3.8%. Why the estimate keeps whipsawing — and how to plan for a range, not a guess.
news · social-security · cola · inflation · retirement-income
July 8, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
The $6,000 senior deduction: what it actually does (and doesn't do)
No, Social Security is not tax-free now. Here's what the OBBBA senior deduction really is: $6,000 per person 65+, phasing out above $75,000/$150,000 MAGI, gone after 2028 — with worked examples and the Roth-conversion trap nobody mentions.
news · taxes · obbba · social-security · retirement-tax
July 1, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
Social Security's 2032 deadline: what a 22% benefit cut would do to your plan
The June 2026 Trustees Report moved the retirement trust fund's depletion date up to late 2032 — after which only 78% of scheduled benefits are payable. Here's what a 22% cut means in dollars, why claiming at 62 is usually the wrong reaction, and how to model the cut in your own plan.
news · social-security · public-policy · trust-fund
June 1, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
The 2027 Social Security COLA: Why the Forecast Just Jumped to 3.9% (and Why You Shouldn't Bank on It)
The latest 2027 Social Security COLA forecast jumped to 3.9% — up from 2.8% a month earlier. Here's how the COLA is actually calculated, why the estimate is so volatile, when the official number lands, and how to plan for a range instead of a guess.
news · social-security · cola · inflation · retirement-income
May 27, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
The IRMAA cliff: how one extra dollar of retirement income can cost you thousands in Medicare premiums
IRMAA isn't a tax — it's a cliff. Cross a Medicare income threshold by a single dollar and your annual premium can jump $1,148 to $1,736 per person, in full, with no phase-in. Here are the official 2026 brackets, the 2-year lookback that makes it stealthy, and the legal ways retirees stay under each tier.
news · public-policy · medicare · irmaa · retirement-tax
May 18, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius
The TCJA cliff was averted: what 2026 tax brackets actually look like
TCJA was made permanent by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025. Here's what 2026 tax brackets actually look like, how the standard deduction changed, and what a typical retiree saves vs. the doomsday scenario most blogs still warn about.
news · public-policy · taxes · tcja · retirement-tax
May 13, 2026 · Mindaugas Laucius, Founder of Yearfold
The 'Trump IRA' explained: TrumpIRA.gov, Trump Accounts, and what's actually new
TrumpIRA.gov launches January 2027. Trump Accounts for kids start July 2026. Here's what each program actually does, who qualifies, and what's still unclear — sourced from White House and Congressional Research Service documents.
news · public-policy · iras · savers-match · retirement-accounts
